BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Davenport Assumption
Class: 3A Class Rank: 5 Conference: (12-6-0) Overall: (26-13-0) Overall Strength = 29.63
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 05/21/2012 Unknown W 28.59 10 7 EX 1 ( 0- 2) United Township IL -1.00 4.00
2 05/21/2012 Unknown W 30.59 6 1 EX 1 ( 0- 2) United Township IL 1.00 4.00
3 05/22/2012 Away W 33.69 14 7 3A 15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant 4.09 2.91
4 05/22/2012 Away W 27.69 3 2 3A 15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant -1.91 2.91
5 05/26/2012 Unknown L 26.15 2 9 4A 3 (34-10) WDM Valley -3.45 -3.55
6 05/26/2012 Unknown L 32.15 8 9 4A 3 (34-10) WDM Valley 2.55 -3.55
7 06/02/2012 Home W 33.20 10 0 3A 43 (14-24) Fort Madison 3.61 6.39
8 06/02/2012 Home W 29.20 9 3 3A 43 (14-24) Fort Madison -0.39 6.39
9 06/04/2012 Home W * 36.07 12 3 4A 32 (20-14) Clinton 6.47 2.53
10 06/04/2012 Home W * 30.07 4 1 4A 32 (20-14) Clinton 0.47 2.53
11 06/07/2012 Away W * 32.23 2 0 4A 15 (27-14) Pleasant Valley 2.63 -0.63
12 06/07/2012 Away W * 34.23 8 4 4A 15 (27-14) Pleasant Valley 4.63 -0.63
13 06/09/2012 Unknown W 28.23 2 0 3A 22 (14-26) Dubuque Wahlert -1.36 3.36
14 06/09/2012 Away L 29.16 3 7 4A 2 (32-11) WDM Dowling -0.43 -3.57
15 06/10/2012 Unknown L 24.10 5 8 2A 5 (25-13) Iowa City Regina -5.50 2.50
16 06/11/2012 Home W * 28.91 7 6 4A 28 (14-22) Davenport Central -0.69 1.69
17 06/11/2012 Home L * 25.91 7 9 4A 28 (14-22) Davenport Central -3.69 1.69
18 06/12/2012 Home W 25.86 5 2 2A 28 (19-16) Stanwood North Cedar -3.73 6.73
19 06/13/2012 Away W 32.17 8 2 1A 5 (30- 7) Preston 2.58 3.42
20 06/14/2012 Home W * 35.49 7 0 4A 25 (18-20) Davenport West 5.89 1.11
21 06/14/2012 Home L * 25.49 0 3 4A 25 (18-20) Davenport West -4.11 1.11
22 06/18/2012 Away W * 34.48 12 6 4A 22 (19-18) Bettendorf 4.88 1.12
23 06/18/2012 Away L * 23.48 1 6 4A 22 (19-18) Bettendorf -6.12 1.12
24 06/20/2012 Home L 26.48 2 6 2A 1 (38- 7) Dyersville Beckman -3.12 -0.88
25 06/21/2012 Away L * 29.68 4 5 4A 11 (31- 9) Eldridge North Scott 0.09 -1.09
26 06/21/2012 Away L * 25.68 3 8 4A 11 (31- 9) Eldridge North Scott -3.91 -1.09
27 06/22/2012 Home W 30.30 8 2 3A 35 (17-24) Solon 0.71 5.29
28 06/23/2012 Home L 25.32 3 4 2A 8 (23-13) Cascade -4.27 3.27
29 06/25/2012 Away W * 34.88 15 5 4A 39 (12-23) Burlington 5.29 4.71
30 06/25/2012 Away W * 25.88 1 0 4A 39 (12-23) Burlington -3.71 4.71
31 06/29/2012 Unknown W 31.41 1 0 4A 14 (17-24) Urbandale 1.81 -0.81
32 07/02/2012 Unknown W * 33.20 6 1 4A 26 (18-22) Davenport North 3.60 1.40
33 07/02/2012 Unknown W * 29.20 7 6 4A 26 (18-22) Davenport North -0.40 1.40
34 07/05/2012 Away W * 33.47 4 1 4A 13 (26-12) Muscatine 3.88 -0.88
35 07/05/2012 Away L * 25.47 2 7 4A 13 (26-12) Muscatine -4.12 -0.88
36 07/07/2012 Away W 34.54 15 9 4A 21 (24-16) Iowa City High 4.95 1.05
37 07/10/2012 Away W 31.44 4 2 4A 18 (21-15) Cedar Rapids Xavier 1.85 0.15
38 07/13/2012 Neutral W 28.36 12 0 3A 63 ( 2-37) Anamosa -1.23 * 13.23
39 07/16/2012 Away L 21.71 2 8 3A 9 (27-14) Maquoketa -7.88 1.88
Averages 29.59 6.0 4.1
Best game: 36.07 = 9 point win over Clinton
Worst game: 21.71 = 6 point loss to Maquoketa
Team stdev: 3.73